MLB Totals Pick: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros

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Pro Pick From
Andre Gomes

(At current odds)

2019-06-12T00:10:00.000Z 2019-06-12T00:10:00.000Z - MLB

975 Milwaukee Brewers
vs.
976 Houston Astros

Date	Sport/Type	Pick	Score	Odds	Size	W/L	$
06/11/2019	MLB Totals	OV MIL/HOU	8-10	8½-115	2	W	200

Analysis

MLB Pick #7 & #8 : 975 Milwaukee Brewers @ 976 Houston Astros
(Starting Pitchers: M. Fiers vs. R. Stanek)
Rating: 4 Units - Regular Play
Pick: Over 8.5 Runs
Odds: -115 / 1.87 on Sportsbook OR -117 / 1.85 on Bookmaker
Rating: 4 Units - Regular Play
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers ML
Odds: +106 / 2.06 on Pinnacle Sports OR +104 / 2.04 on Bookmaker

I think the Brewers are going to be a very tough matchup for Brad Peacock tonight: While he has some splendid numbers vs RH bats w/ 3.40 xFIP / 29.9% K + 6.0% BB ratios; he really struggles against LH bats w/ 5.21 xFIP / 20.8% K + 9.2% BB & 44.9% Flyball rate + 42.7% Hard Contact rate. Naturally, the Brewers are one of the best power offenses in the league and they are using 6 LH bats today:

1. Ben Gamel (L) LF
2. Christian Yelich (L) RF
3. Lorenzo Cain (R) CF
4. Mike Moustakas (L) 2B
5. Yasmani Grandal (S) C
6. Eric Thames (L) DH
7. Jesus Aguilar (R) 1B
8. Travis Shaw (L) 3B
9. Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Peacock’s repertoire consists on Fastball + Slider and the Brewers are #5 & #4 ranked vs. those pitches in L30 days.

On the other hand, I don't really love Peralta in this matchup against the great HOU offense, but we are talking about a confident pitcher that after really struggling to start the season got demoted but then bounced back. He has been better with an improved fastball (last start he had season best 94.1 mph FB/avg speed) and I think he can be decent in here.

Pick Creation Time:

06/11/2019 2:45 PM

Comment Stream

Pro Pick From Andre Gomes

2019-06-12T00:10:00.000Z 2019-06-12T00:10:00.000Z - MLB

975 Milwaukee Brewers vs. 976 Houston Astros

Analysis

Pick Creation Time:

Pro Pick From
Andre Gomes

975 Milwaukee Brewers
vs.
976 Houston Astros