I'm playing on Cincinnati/Cleveland OVER the total. The Reds have been on an 'under' streak. In fact, all seven of their June games have fallen below the total. While that streak has helped to contribute to a nice low O/U number, we can expect it to come to an end today. Over his last three starts, Castillo has walked 11 batters in 14 innings. All those free passes will catch up with him; he's got an ugly 1.714 WHIP in those games. Speaking of 'ugly,' Bauer is 2-5 with a 5.82 ERA in seven home starts. Not surprisingly, five of those finished above the number. He served up three home runs, while also issuing three walks, last time out. After a slow start at the plate, the Indians are starting to hit better, they've scored 37 runs their last six games, 14 over their last two. On what should be a beautiful evening at Progressive Field, expect both teams to have success at the plate in this one, leading to the final combined score finishing above the low number.