I'm playing on MINNESOTA. Plenty of reasons to expect a victory for the home team in this one. The Mariners, 4-11 as road underdogs in the +125 to +175 range, are just 7-14 vs southpaws. They'll be facing Perez who has a sparkling 1.80 ERA in four home starts. Perez won 7-1 when he faced Seattle earlier, allowing just one run through 6 2/3 innings. Leake goes for the Mariners; he's 2-5 with a 5.57 ERA on the road. Leake is backed by a Seattle bullpen which has a combined 5.71 ERA and 1.634 WHIP on the road, convering on 57% of save chances. The Minnesota bullpen, meanwhile, has a combined 3.56 ERA at home, converting on 81.8% of save chances here. The Twins are 19-9 at home and they've been dominant as home favorites in this range. More of the same here.