I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Phillies are a dominant 31-12 (+10.4) the past 43 times that they were listed as home favorites of -150 or greater. With a significant advantage on the mound, they'll improve on those stats Saturday afternoon. These same two starters opposed each other on 4/20, at Colorado. Nola and the Phillies won 8-5. In fact, the Phillies are 3-0 all-time in Nola's starts against the Rockies. He's allowed three earned runs or less in all three starts, a total of just six in 19 1/3 innings. Over that span, Nola had 26 K's vs. two walks. Nola has a 3.07 ERA his last three starts, the Phillies winning all three. Remember, Nola was 10-2 with a 2.34 ERA here last season, too. On the other hand, Senzatela has a 7.04 ERA his last three. With Nola getting the better of Senzatela, expect the Phillies to improve to 10-4 in day games.