I'm playing SEATTLE on the run-line (+1.5 runs) The Twins won big last night but I'm anticipating a much closer game this evening, the Mariners bouncing back with a big effort. Gonzales' last two starts came at Fenway Park and Yankee Stadium. While he pitched very well in New York, he stumbled at Boston. Those are some tough venues though. Here at Safeco, he's 3-2 with a very solid 2.93 ERA. One of those losses was a 3-2 defeat against Cole and the Astros. In other words, one would be 4-1 in Gonzales' five home starts, if they'd been getting an extra +1.5 runs. While the Twins haven't seen Gonzales, the M's are plenty familiar with Perez. The last time that Perez started against them, he lasted just 1 2/3 innings, giving up five runs (2 earned) while walking five batters. Seattle won 12-6. Prior to yesterday, the Twins were off three straight 1-run games and b2b 1-run wins. Expect AT LEAST a 'run-line cover' for the home team in this one.