We're getting this number because of Corbin, but because of Corbin it's going to go over. He's off of two 100+ pitch games and that's not something he does often. He did it twice last season and in both following starts he gave up three runs, and that's all we need. That of course doesn't take into account the Nationals' bullpen and their season-long 6.34 ERA. Add to that the fact that the Mets have already seen him twice this season. On the other side, Font is a spot starter who we just don't expect to go more than five innings, if that. The other reason this total is artificially low is HPU Cory Blasser. Over time, he's been an under umpire, but this season he's 3-0-1 to the over, and in those three "over" games the teams scored at least 11 runs. The weather is about as good as it gets for this time of year - mild temperatures with a slight helping breeze to left field. That's all I got.

05/15/2019 4:57 AM