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(At current odds)
Date
Sport/Type
Pick
Score
Odds
Size
W/L
$
05/05/2019
NBA Totals
UN DEN/POR
112-116
210½
1
L
-110
1-star (593/594) Denver/PORTLAND UNDER 210.5. 7:05pm ET. How much does either team have left in the tank after the 4OT thriller from Friday night. In that game, a combined 73 points was scored in OT as the two teams only had a combined 204 points after regulation. That would have went UNDER the total by 11 points. That was coming off the heels of Game 2 going UNDER by 32.5 points. Denver has been playing every other day for the past two weeks and you really have to question how much they have left here. The Nuggets certainly didn't have much in Game 2 where they shot just 34.7% from the field (worst performance of the entire season). Now they're coming off Game 3 where four of their starters played 49 minutes or more led by their big man Nikola Jokic, who incredibly played 65 minutes. I want to back Portland as well here but note the market is really on Denver as the line has dropped 1.5 points.
Lean (592) PHILADELPHIA -2.5 over Toronto. 3:35pm ET. The market usually gives an NBA team 3-4 points for home court advantage in the NBA playoffs. Therefore, this line would indicate that Toronto would be a 1-2 point favorite over Philadelphia on a neutral floor. I'm just not buying it especially with Toronto playing without Pascal Siakum who is averaging 22.9 ppg in the playoffs so far and was Toronto's 2nd leading scorer in the regular season. Bare with me on this analogy, but if this were an elementary school playground game and we lined up every player on both teams and did a draft, I think we can all agree that Toronto's Kawhi Leonard would be the first pick. However, couldn't you make a reasonable argument that the next 4-5 picks would all be Philadelphia players? The 76ers are clearly the better team and go up 3-1 here.
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