1-star (541/542) San Antonio/DENVER UNDER 209. 10:05pm ET. Since 2002, home teams in Game 7 are 37-13 SU/30-20 ATS so it obviously is a positive to be in front of the home crowd in the deciding elimination game. On top of that, Denver was a league-best 34-7 SU/25-16 ATS at home in the regular season while San Antonio was just 16-25 SU/19-20-2 ATS away from home in the regular season. With that being said, Denver head coach Mike Malone has never coached in a Game 7 and Denver has the youngest team in the playoffs. Meanwhile Gregg Popovich is 4-2 ATS in Game 7. I'm indifferent on the side today and will take the UNDER. With Game 7, you usually get increased intensity on the defensive side and more calculated offensive possessions. The UNDER is 29-21 in Game 7's since 2002 and we saw Game 1's total at 210, so I don't think this has been overly factored in the market place. Also I don't mind playing an UNDER one game after San Antonio shot a playoff-best 57.1% from the field in Game 6.

Philadelphia at Toronto. The Raptors have dominated the 76ers as of late as they are on a 21-3 SU/16-7-1 ATS run vs Philadelphia in the last 6 years. During that span, Toronto has gone 12-0 SU vs Philadelphia at home winning every one of those games by 8 points or more (average win by 18.6 ppg!). I know you're going to say both teams' rosters have dramatically changed in the last couple of years so note that this year Toronto went 3-1 SU/ATS vs Philadelphia and the only game they lost, Kawhi Leonard sat out. Give credit to both teams for bouncing back after Game 1 upsets to win their first round series in 5 games. I just like Toronto's chemistry better and Kawhi's playoff experience vs Philadelphia's youth will be the difference. With regards to Game 1, I can't back Toronto -6.5 as the Raptors are on a 1-9 ATS run in Game 1's (-11 ppg). However, I do like Toronto to win this series in 6 games.