The Jazz did a better job controlling Harden somewhat but still lost game 3 and that puts a heavy burden on them for tonight's contest. Utah relies heavily on their defense to win games and we expect another good effort tonight for this team that is ranked #2 in the NBA for Defensive Efficiency. We have thought in the past and correctly so that Houston likes to run the court but this season they are just not like that ranked #25 in the Pace Rating. The Jazz are about average although their tempo at home is not quite as high as when they travel. The fact is this H/A situation is the best one for an UNDER tonight and low and behold the 205 scored last game here was the lowest of the series. Can we expect anything else but the same tonight? Not likely. Consider these trends. The Rockets are 17-6 UNDER last 23 games played. They are 19-6 UNDER last 25 games on 1 Day Rest. They are 13-5 UNDER Last 18 verses Western Conference Teams. (One's they see a lot) The Jazz are 8-3 UNDER last 11 at home. Head to Head the Rockets/Jazz are 5-1 UNDER on this court. We don't play games based on trends but we do know when they make sense. Those do. Our 3 NBA Models love this one and we do too. A bit surprised that Public betting has driven this one up from the 212.5 open but happy for that. This is a 3* Play at your best number..

04/22/2019 6:23 AM