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2019-04-15T23:40:00.000Z 2019-04-15T23:40:00.000Z - MLB

905 St. Louis Cardinals
vs.
906 Milwaukee Brewers

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

04/15/2019

MLB Sides

Brewers

10-7

-127

Free

W

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Analysis
MLB Season Message

I had a MLB service a couple of years ago, but due to lack of time I decided against continuing it. However, I've been doing a lot of background work on the last few months in order to get the needed automation to have all necessary data available and develop my own power rankings to build a predictive model. So, I've decided to only start the MLB season when all starting pitchers had a total of 20 innings pitched which is usually after three starts and so, I believe this is the right time to start. My MLB picks will be free of charge until May 5 (05/05).


MLB Pick #2: 905 St Louis Cardinals @ 906 Milwaukee Brewers
(Starting Pitchers: D. Hudson vs. F. Peralta)
Rating: 4 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers ML 
Odds: -127 / 1.78 on Pinnacle Sports OR -126 / 1.79 on 5Dimes


Hudson was crushed by the same Brewers on his first start of the season on a poor outing with 6.23 ERA, 10.77 FIP and 3.05 xFIP. He managed to shutdown the Dodgers even though he allowed 6 hits and 4 walks, so he was incredibly lucky with a 0.00 ERA, 4.01 FIP and 4.40 xFIP. His 6.1% K/BB% rate & 46.9% Hard Contact Rate are quite subpar and once again facing the Brewers, this won't be a good spot for him.

On the other hand, I believe Peralta will have a good spot tonight with the Cardinals coming from a series where they played in the high altitude of Mexico this weekend. He was crushed on his last start at LA against the Angels where he allowed 6 runs in the first inning, but his 19/4 K/BB ratio and 4.26 FIP + 3.61 SIERA showed that he has solid advanced numbers. I believe Milwaukee will then pick up a nice win in tonight's game.
Pick Creation Time:
04/15/2019 2:31 PM
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