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Pro Pick From
Brad Powers

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(At current odds)

2019-03-15T03:30:00.000Z 2019-03-15T03:30:00.000Z - College Basketball

751 Oregon Ducks
vs.
752 Utah U Running Utes

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

03/14/2019

CBB Sides

Oregon

66-54

-4½

1

W

100

Analysis
1-star (751) 751 Oregon -4.5 over Utah. 11:30pm ET. The Ducks came into the season as the Pac-12 favorite and were considered to be a borderline Top 10 team nationally. However, an injury to one of their best players Bol Bol (21 ppg, 9.6 rpg) side-tracked them for most of the season. However, in their last 5 games the Ducks have finally been playing up to their lofty preseason expectations winning by an average of 21 ppg and have covered all 5 of those games by an average of 17 ppg. That includes two comfortable wins over what many consider to be the two best teams (Washington and Arizona St). Oregon has the far superior defense here (No. 20 vs No. 263, defense travels) and Utah is a little over-priced in the market place after notching two wins and covers last weekend in home-run spots vs the L.A. schools.

Lean (742) Mississippi -3.5 over Alabama. 7:00pm ET. The Crimson Tide are firmly on the Bubble and probably need two wins in the SEC tournament to get above the cut line when it comes to the NCAA tournament. However, I'm not buying it as this Alabama team has been on the Bubble for awhile now and have not responded well going 2-6 SU/1-7 ATS in their last 8 games. A couple of those games (LSU and Auburn), I considered to be home-run spots for them and they still under-achieved. On the other side, we have one of the best ATS teams in the country this year in Ole Miss at 23-8 ATS under first-year head coach Kermit Davis. However, I think we're buying Ole Miss a little low as the Rebels are just 1-3 SU in their last 4 games. Please note that those 3 losses have come by a combined 7 points and two of them were to Kentucky and Tennessee (two of the best teams in the SEC). Also note that if this comes down to free throw shooting at the end, we have a huge edge with Ole Miss who as a team hits 78.5% from the free throw line (No. 4 in the country). Meanwhile, Alabama hits only 66.9% of their free throws (No. 304).
Pick Creation Time:
03/14/2019 9:59 AM
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