One of two things is happening with this number: Either Vegas is saying Dayton is the better team (I don’t believe it despite the slight edge in KenPom) or Davidson has a below average home court advantage (The Wildcats are 12-0 at home and have won every game by at least 3). Dayton doesn’t have a top 100 road win this season. Dayton is not playing their best ball right now, losing 2 of their last 3 SU. Davidson is the 3rd most efficient defensive team in the Atlantic 10, behind VCU and Saint Louis. The Flyers are 0-3 against those two teams this year. Dayton is 5-11 in their last 16 ATS, and have failed to hit 70 points in 3 of their last 4 games. I still think Davidson is the class of the Atlantic 10, and they should be able to cover a possession at home here.

02/18/2019 9:22 PM