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Pro Pick From
Dave Essler

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(At current odds)

2019-01-20T23:40:00.000Z 2019-01-20T23:40:00.000Z - NFL

313 New England Patriots
vs.
314 Kansas City Chiefs

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

01/20/2019

NFL Totals

OV NE/KC

37-31

54-120

3

W

300

Analysis
Here's the deal here - I know all the early money was on the under and that's to be expected with the projected weather. However, I don't think it effects much but the kicking game. Punts won't travel as far and maybe long field goal attempts turn into fourth down "go for it" because I don't think this is a field position game, at least not early. It wouldn't shock me if it was New England who went fast and dared KC to keep up. Both teams WILL score. But, NE will certainly do everything they can to make KC play from behind, and the Chiefs most certainly aren't going to want a last possession game against the best fourth quarter QB if all time. This has far more to do with X's, O's, and advanced stats. This time of year those are pretty much common knowledge. People know who turns the ball over and who doesn't. People know which teams are good in the Red Zone (both of them). People know that it's cold. They don't know that MAYBE it's being factored in TOO much. KC is only -3 at this point for a reason. I see a 31-30 game.
Pick Creation Time:
01/16/2019 4:35 AM
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