Sunday, 1-20-2019

6:40pm ET - 3:40pm PT

#313-314

New England Patriots @ Kansas City Chiefs

2** Play on: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS minus the points 

Situations and Systems from our NFL database:

(1) In the CHAMPIONSHIP Round of the NFL Playoffs, home favorites of < 7 points (CHIEFS), with an OU line of > 37 points… have gone 13-3 ATS since 1989. This includes a perfect 5-0 ATS in the last six seasons.

(2) NFL Playoff HOME teams who allowed 14 or LESS points in their last game (CHIEFS) have gone a PERFECT 11-0 straight-up… and 7-1 ATS when the pointspread is 6 or less points.

(3) In the AFC Conference, PLAYOFF home favorites of < 8 points (CHIEFS: have gone a PERFECT 7-0 ATS since 2205 when the OU line is a HIGH 50 or more points.

(4) 7-1-1 ATS since 2003: All non-Super Bowl PLAYOFF favorites off a Home Playoff ‘UNDER the Total’ (CHIEFS).

(5) 7-1 ATS All-Time: All PLAYOFF favorites of 2 > points off BB SU wins, who ALLOW 4.9 or MORE yards per rush on the season (CHIEFS). This teams have gone a perfect 5-0 ATS when the OU line is 46 or more points.

(6)12-3 ATS since 2003 / 8-2 ATS at HOME: All PLAYOFF teams off back-to-back SU wins of 17 or more points EACH (CHIEFS won 31-13 and 35-3 in last 2 games), when the pointspread os 6 or less points.

(7) 2-22-1 ATS since 1994: All non-division PLAYOFF teams who scored 40 or more points at HOME in their last Playoff game (Patriots). 

(8) 0-6-1 ATS since 2003: All PLAYOF road teams off a home WIN win which they ALLOWED 28 or more points (Patriots). 

(9) 0-5-21 ATS some 2011: All non-Super Bowl PLAYOFF teams who ALLOWED 50 or less RUSHING yards at home in their last Playoff game (Patriots allowed only 19 rushing yards last week). 

The fact that New England is on the road is extremely significant. Since December of the 2017 season, the PATRIOTS have gone a PERFECT 0-6-1 ATS in all AFC CONFERENCE road games in which the pointspread was less than (<) 13 points.