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Pro Pick From
Ben Burns

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(At current odds)

2019-01-20T23:40:00.000Z 2019-01-20T23:40:00.000Z - NFL

313 New England Patriots
vs.
314 Kansas City Chiefs

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

01/20/2019

NFL Sides

Chiefs

31-37

-2½-125

3

L

-375

Analysis

I'm playing on KC (3* GAME OF THE WEEK). Playing at home, the Patriots managed a 43-40 win when these teams met in the shootout. On a chilly Sunday at Arrowhead, I expect the Chiefs to have their revenge. They're saying this will likely be the coldest playoff game ever played here. I expect that to benefit the hard-hitting home team. We know about Mahomes and the offense; the Chiefs 35.1 ppg was #1 in the NFL. (New England ranked 4th at 28.1 ppg.) However, I also really liked what I saw from the Chiefs' defense last week, as they absolutely dominated Luck and the Colts. The Pats were 0-3 SU/ATS on the road this season, when the O/U line was 49.5 or greater. The Chiefs, 4-2 ATS as home favorites of -3 or less, got the playoff monkey off their backs last week. Demons exorcised, expect them to ride the positive momentum right into the Super Bowl. 

Pick Creation Time:
01/14/2019 3:06 AM
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