Pro Pick From
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(At current odds)

2019-01-05T21:35:00.000Z 2019-01-05T21:35:00.000Z - NFL

101 Indianapolis Colts
vs.
102 Houston Texans

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

01/05/2019

NFL Sides

Colts

21-7

+8-120

3

W

300

Analysis
3 star TEASER bet, My NFL TEASER OF THE YEAR!!

2 team, 6 point Teaser!  Risk 3.6 units to make 3.0 units

101 Indy +8  with 105 Chargers +8.5

Note:  Here are my notes on the 4 games:

Indy/HOU

Strong lean Hou QB WATSON OVER 41.5 rush yards.

Watson is now fully healthy and his rush yards have gone up the last 2 weeks.

Team to get more Sacks, strong Lean INDY -140 vs. Hou.

I saw a line on Indy D to have more sacks than Hou and I would bet this prop up to -150…..fyi, another strong lean.

LIKE INDY

Reason to bet Indy:

            1. Pass Rush Dominance:

                        Indy has sacked Hou 12 times in 2 games!

                                    Hou LAST in NFL sacked 62 times

                                    Indy 1st in NFL sacked only 18 times

            2.  Indy Best team in the NFL since week 7!

                        No1 team in scoring Differential

            3.  Hou WR Cluster Injuries

                        No2 WR Fuller went down

                        New No2 WR Thomas went down

                        No3 WR Coutee (hamstring) won’t by 100%

Reason NOT to bet Indy!!

            Bad Schedule Spot:

                        Indy had to win @Titans Sunday Night

                        Now have to play @Hou Saturday 1st game (1:35 pst)

Sea/Dallas -2

Lean Dallas

Sea:  OVERRATED, based on several misleading Final Scores

            SEA 27 Gb 24 (Sea trailed almost the entire game)

            SEA 21 Min 7 (Game was very close until final  minutes)

            Sea 24 Dal 13 (Stats were even, Sea was +3 T/os)

 

However, Dak has had his WORST QBR against Sea

            Tough to back a team that has owned your QB!

Chargers/Balt -3

No1 Factor:  Balt is having success with a quirky offense

            No one else in the NFL runs all these QB read options

                        Balt is succeeding based on the unique challenges it poses

The 1 team most poised to stop it should be Chargers

                        Just saw it Week 16 in a loss (Chargers 10 BALT 22)

BEST BET Chargers +3:  Great Road team

                        7-1 SU ,tied with Saints best Road Team in NFL

                                    Road Wins at Sea, at Pit, At KC

Philly/ Chicago -6.5

Bears:  Undervalued based on 2 games Chase Daniel Played

            Daniel only averaged 5.7 yards/pass play

            Week 12, Chic 23 DET 16

            Week 13, Chic 27 NYG 30

In their other last 8 Trubisky Games , Chic is 8-0 SU and 8-0 ATS

            Average Score:  Chic 25-Opponents 13

Foles:  May not be 100%

            Foles injured Ribs Week 16 very late in game

            Foles Aggravated Rib Injury Week 17, left gm 4th Quarter

                        EAGLES PHYSICALLY Tired?  4th road game last 5 weeks

Philly:  Average Team:  F/o’s 16 overall, 16 O, 15 D

Chic:   F/0:   5th overall, 20 Offense, 1 Defense

Foles QBR has been outstanding the last 4 starts.

            He has been the 3rd best QB in the NFL!

With this line now up to -6.5 I would pass this game……..





Pick Creation Time:
01/01/2019 12:00 PM
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