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2018-11-04T18:00:00.000Z 2018-11-04T18:00:00.000Z - NFL

455 Pittsburgh Steelers
vs.
456 Baltimore Ravens

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

11/04/2018

NFL Totals

UN PIT/BAL

16-23

47½

2

W

200

Analysis

Sunday, Nov. 4th
1:00pm ET / 10:00am PT
#455-456
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens
2** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL

The OU line is working it’s way DOWN in this Sunday early kickoff AFC North DIVISION game. So get your play in as soon as possible. We got ours in at 47.5. Fortune Favored the BOLD last week in this spot, as we cashed an UNDER Winner while also fading the highest-scoring team in the league (KC Chiefs). We’ll Go Bold again this week, and expect a LOWER-than-anticipated score in the AFC North division battle between the STEELERS and RAVENS. A series that has gone 0-4 O/U in the last 4 played IN Baltimore (by a BIG margin of -10.2 ppg to boot). Sharp OU bettors know that Pittsburgh is an entirely different team when comparing their home vs away ‘splits’ (4-19-1 O/U last 24 ROAD games in Week 2 >). On the flip side, Baltimore’s #1 defense in the league (STILL at < 300 YPG allowed TY) has gone 5-17-1 O/U in their last 23 HOME games with an OU line of 44 > points. 

Speaking of mid-to-high OU lines: AFC NORTH division games with an OU line of > 43 points (Pit @ Bal) have gone UNDER the Total 76% of the time (12-38-1 O/U) in the last 15 seasons. 

We’re aware that Pittsburgh just went OVER at home last Sunday against the Browns… 1-9 O/U last 2 years: All NFL teams with an OU line of 44 > pts off a DIVISION home ‘OVER’ in their last game (Pit). 

Up next for the Steelers is a THURSDAY game vs Carolina… 1-11 O/U last 3 years: All same-DIVISION teams who have a THURSDAY home game the following week (Pit). 

Baltimore was a short road favorite vs Carolina last week, and got blasted by 15 points (lost 36-21)… 3-21 O/U L5Y / 1-13 O/U L3Y: All NFL home teams off a SU road FAV loss of 10 or more points (Ravens). 

The host Ravens are now off BB losses while the Steelers are off BB wins… 0-5 O/U last 2 years: All DIVISION favs off BB SU losses (Bal) vs any opponent off BB SU wins (Pit). 

Yes, Baltimore allowed 36 pts last week, and Pittsburgh SCORED 33 points. Plug ‘em in together and you get: 1-9 O/U s’2009: All home favs who ALLOWED 33 > pts AWAY last week (Bal) vs an opponent who SCORED 33 > pts at HOME last week (Pit). 

This will be Baltimore’s last game before their Bye Week… 2-10 O/U last 2 years: All NFL teams BEFORE their Bye Week (Balt) vs any DIVISION opponent (Pit), when the OU line is < 50 points.

Pick Creation Time:
11/02/2018 11:15 AM
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