1:00pm ET / 10:00am PT
#459-460
CAROLINA PANTHERS @ PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
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GAME TWO is an All-NFC affair between the host EAGLES and visiting PANTHERS. It has taken just overt a third of a season, but Philly looks like they have finally found their high-scoring offense from last season (when they were NUMBER ONE in the league in scoring at 29.0 points per game). In last Thursday’s divisional road affair, the Eagles broke out with 24 points by halftime… and 34 overall in the win over the Giants. Carson Wentz went 26 for 36 for 278 yards and 3 TD’s. This PHILLY / CAROLINA series has gone 5-1 O/I in the last six meetings. Even more important is the average MARGIN in these games: +8.5 PPG. That includes a meeting LAST year that totaled 51 points.
We know from our database that teams playing off a Thursday high-scoring contest deliver strong OVER results in their next game. Particularly at HOME… In the last two years. > .500 teams off a Thursday ‘Over’ (EAGLES) have gone 9-1 O/U.
Carolina has already had their Bye Week, but Philadelphia has not… 8-1-1 O/U last 4 years: All GAME 7 home ‘pick’ or FAVS (EAGLES) versus any GAME 6 opponent (PANTHERS), when the OU line is 50 or less points.
Up next for the Eagles is a ling top across the pond for a game in LONDON versus the Jacksonville Jaguars… 18-4 O/U All-Time: All NFL favorites BEFORE playing a regular season ‘NEUTRAL Site’ game (EAGLES), when the OU line is < 50 points.
With the Eagles off a convincing road win vs the G-Men, we note that: NFL non-division home favorites of < 6 points off a SUATS division road FAV win that went Over the Total (EAGLES) have gone a perfect 6-0 O/U (L10Y) when the OU Line is 46 < points, versus any > .500 opponent (PANTHERS).
The Panthers were also road favs last week, But their game had the opposite result (LOST and went UNDER vs Washington)… 9-1 O/U since 2013 / 5-0 O/U L3Y: All non-division road underdogs off a SUATS non-division road FAV loss that also went Under the Total (PANTHERS), when the OU line is 47 < points.
In their last three games, the Panthers have scored 17 on the road, 33 apt home, and 31 at home… 10-0 OP/U ALL-TIME in our database: All ROAD teams after scoring 17 < pts away… 31 > pts home… and 31 > pts home… in their last three games (PANTHERS) vs any opponent off a SU win (EAGLES).
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