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2018-10-14T17:00:00.000Z 2018-10-14T17:00:00.000Z - NFL

265 Seattle Seahawks
vs.
266 Oakland Raiders

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

10/14/2018

NFL Totals

OV SEA/OAK

27-3

48

2

L

-220

Analysis
1:00pm ET / 10:00am PT
#265-266
*London, England
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS vs OAKLAND RAIDERS
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

We’re going across the pond for the FIRST International Series game of the season. That would be the SEAHAWKS taking on the RAIDERS at Wembley Stadium at 6:00pm local time (1:00pm ET). This is each team’s last game before their BYE WEEK. As I just wrote about two weeks ago: NFL non-conference (AFC vs NFC) teams before their BYE WEEK have gone a strong 41-18-1 O/U s’ 2004, when the OU line is > 38 points. And in the last 5 years, these games have gone an almost-perfect 9-1 O/U when it’s not one, but BOTH teams playing before their Bye (RAIDERS vs SEAHAWKS). 
Stat freaks already know that Oakland’s POOR defense just allowed 412 and 487 yards in their last two games, and are ranked #29 in the league in SCORING D (allowing 29.8 ppg). On the flip side, OVER bettors have to be encouraged that Seattle’s offense just scored 31 points (and almost 400 yards) against the Top 5 defense of the Rams. So it looks like the pieces are in place for a SHOOTOUT in London Town. 

With each of these teams off a key division loss last week, our database tells us that: NFL non-division games have gone 24-5-1 O/U s’2011 (and 6-0 O/U L3Y) when BOTH teams are off a SU div loss (RAIDERS +SEAHAWKS), when the OU line in the range of 39-52 points. 

Seattle has allowed 33 and 17 points in their last 2 games (vs LAR and ARZ)… 12-2 O/U s’00 / 6-0 O/U L10Y: All GAME NINE or less teams after allowing 33 > pts and 17 < pts to DIVISION foes in their last 2 games (SEA). 

They didn’t win last week but they did COVER vs the Rams… 9-1-1 O/U s’06: All NFL favs off a SU division home loss BUT an ATS win (SEA). 

Yes, we’re aware that Oakland scored only 10 pts last week... 14-2 O/U ‘s99: All road/neutral teams who scored 10 < pts and allowed 28 < pts on the road last week (OAK) vs any opp who allowed 31 > pts at home (SEA). 

Most of the OU tendencies that apply to these International Games are covered on Page 3 of this week’s Tipsheet. Just know that: NFL regular-season NEUTRAL SITE non-division games have gone 11-2 O/U when the OU line is 52 < points, with an average MARGIN of +7.4 ppg.
Pick Creation Time:
10/11/2018 10:16 AM
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