1:00pm ET / 10:00am PT
#255-256
Chicago Bears @ Miami Dolphins
1* Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
This is the top-rated UNDER from our canine ‘Monkey’ that’s loosed in the Totals Tipsheet newsletter. No road trip for Monkey this week. She’ll be quite content to stay in her South Florida home and take a nice Sunday afternoon NAP as the Dolphins and Bears go UNDER the Total at Hard Rock Stadium. These are two of the slowest, most deliberate offensive teams in the league (Chi: only 61.5 offensive plays per game / Mia: only 49.8!). This is a Miami / Chicago series which has averaged only 34.3 combined PPG in the last 4 meetings.
Chicago comes in rested and relaxed after their Bye Week…. 1-15 O/U since 2012 / 0-9 O/U since 2014: All ROAD FAVORITES after their BYE WEEK (Bears) versus any > .400 opponent (Dolphins).
For the visiting Bears, this will be the first of 3 STRAIGHT games versus AFC opponents (vs Pats and Jets next 2 weeks)…. 0-8 O/U last 4 years: All NFC teams playing the FIRST of 3 straight NON-CONFERENCE games in a row (Bears).
Yes, we’re aware that Chicago just put up a whopping 48 points in their last game (vs Tampa 2 weeks ago)…. 2-14 O/U since 2014: All NFL teams who scored 48 or more points at HOME in their last game (Bears)
So Chicago is off a BIG home win and Miami is off a BIG road loss… 5-20-1 O/U since 2011: All ROAD teams off a double-digit home win (Bears) vs any opponent off a double-digit road loss (Dolphins), when the OU line is 40 or more points.
Miami is off road losses (vs Cincy and New Eng) in which they allowed 27 and 38 points… 1-31-2 O/U since 2012: All non-division HOME teams off back-to-back ROAD games in which they allowed 27 > pts EACH (Miami), when the OU line is 50 < points.