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Pro Pick From
Stephen Nover

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(At current odds)

2018-09-17T00:05:00.000Z 2018-09-17T00:05:00.000Z - MLB

929 NY Mets
vs.
930 Boston Red Sox

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

09/16/2018

MLB Run Lines

Mets

3-4

+1½-125

2

W

200

Analysis
This is a marquee pitching matchup of Jacob deGrom versus Chris Sale. There should be an asterisk, though. That's because Sale is going to be on a pitch count and is expected to go three innings at the most. 

So there is tremendous value getting deGrom especially armed with plus 1 1/2 runs on the run line. 

True, Boston has the best record in baseball with 102 victories. No other team has more than 93 wins. Surprisingly, the Mets have a better record than the Red Sox during the past 14 games going 10-4. Boston is 9-5. 

So the Mets are playing well and they have who I consider the best pitcher in baseball going. Max Scherzer and Aaron Nola have hit rough patches, so deGrom has a real shot to win the Cy Young Award. He broke a 108-year major league record by allowing three earned runs or fewer in his last 26 starts. You can not get more consistent than that. 

In his last eight starts, deGrom has held foes to two earned runs or less. He leads the majors with a 1.71 ERA. None of the other qualifers have an ERA under 2.00. 
Pick Creation Time:
09/16/2018 1:30 AM
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