DeShaun Watson was rusty in his first game back from injury. I expect him to play much better against a Titans defense that has linebacker injuries and doesn't generate much of a pass rush. Watson should get additional help with deep threat Will Fuller expected to play after missing last week's loss to the Patriots. 

The Titans usually play better at home. But they are in a tough spot here. Tennessee had to endure a seven-hour game last Sunday in Miami because of weather delays. The Titans have key injuries. Quarterback Marcus Mariota has yet to look good this season and is nursing an elbow injury. He's expected to split QB duties with backup Blaine Gabbert. These quarterbacks are far below Watson.

The Titans' offensive line also is extremely banged-up as both of their star tackles, Jack Conklin and Taylor Lewan, are not expected to play. Mariota also lost his security blanket with tight end Delaine Walker suffering a season-ending ankle injury last week. The Texans have the pass rushers, headed by J.J. Watt, to take advantage of the Titans' backup offensive linemen. 

Houston is 7-2 ATS in the past nine games against Tennessee.