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2018-08-29T23:05:00.000Z 2018-08-29T23:05:00.000Z - MLB

917 Toronto Blue Jays
vs.
918 Baltimore Orioles

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

08/29/2018

MLB Totals

UN TOR/BAL

10-5

9

2

L

-220

Analysis
7:05pm ET / 4:05pm PT
#917-918
Toronto Blue Jays w/ Borucki @ Baltimore Orioles w/ Cobb
2** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL

When we saw who would be behind the dish for Game Three of this AL East Division series, the lights went on. The home plate Umpire for tonight’s Baltimore / Toronto game will be DOUG EDDINGS. He comes in with a year-to-date record of 7-17-1 O/U on the season (71% Unders). That LOW percentage puts him right in the TOP TEN when it comes to UNDER results (#5 to be exact for all Umps who have worked 12 or more games this year). What’s even more impressive to us is the fact that Eddings’ games have averaged only 6.6 combined runs per game this season. That is the 2nd LOWEST of all 89 Major League Baseball Umpires. The only guy who has had less runs per game on the year is Mike Dimuro (5.7 rpg). So we know that Eddings likes to ‘Go Low. We also know that he has worked EIGHT games in the American League this season, and the results of those games has been 1-7 O/U… with an average of only 6.7 combined runs per game. And from a current form standpoint, Eddings has gone 1-4 O/U so far in the month of August… with an average of only 6.2 combined runs per game. So we are GOOD to GO when it comes to the Man in Blue…

The pitching matchup is not like yesterday’s games… but it’s good enough to point out a few highlights. First off, rookie Ryan Burocki will be getting the call for the visiting Blue Jays. We like the fact that he is a LEFTY… as Baltimore is averaging almost a full run-per-game LESS vs southpaws (3,3) Than vs righties (4.1) this season. We also like the fact that tonight will be the FIRST that the Orioles have faced the rookie Burocki (Advantage: PITCHER). He rebounded nicely off a rocky start at Yankee Stadium two turns ago. Over the weekend, he stifled the Phillies... allowing only 2 earned runs while making it to the 7th inning. And finally, we don’t expect a lot of gopher balls tonight either. Burocki has allowed only THREE freakin’ home runs ALL season long in 59 innings pitched!

Sealing the deal is the starting pitcher for the Orioles. That would be righty Alex Cobb. At one point, he was having an absolutely DISMAL season (7.00 ERA after two months). But he has turned things around big-time. In a little less than two months, his ERA has come down a FULL 2 runs per game. Cobb has allowed 2 earned runs or LESS in ALL FIVE of his August starts. That’s a microbic ERA of only 1.80 in 35 innings pitched. AND... he has held opponents to only 26 hits in those 35 innings pitched. Not to mention only THREE home runs allowed in his last seven starts covering 47 innings. It also doesn’t hurt us that this Toronto / Baltimore series has gone 17-36-1 O/U in the last 54 meetings… including 4-12-1 o/U in the last 16 played IN Baltimore.
Pick Creation Time:
08/29/2018 8:18 AM
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