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Pro Pick From
Stephen Nover

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(At current odds)

2018-08-20T23:10:00.000Z 2018-08-20T23:10:00.000Z - MLB

963 Cleveland Guardians
vs.
964 Boston Red Sox

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

08/20/2018

MLB Sides

Guardians

5-4

-100

3

W

300

Analysis
There is only one American League pitcher comparable to Corey Kluber. He pitches for Boston, but he's not Rick Porcello. It's Porcello, not injured Chris Sale, who opposes Kluber making the Indians a strong value play at this pick'em type opening price. 

Cleveland enters this marquee series winning seven of its last eight. Boston was shut out at home by Tampa Bay on Sunday. 

Normally I'm not looking to go against the Red Sox. But this is a huge pitching mismatch. Kluber and Porcello each have 15 victories. That is where the similarity ends, though. 

Kluber has a chance to win the Cy Young Award for a second straight year. He has a 2.68 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. Porcello has a 4.04 ERA, which becomes 4.57 when he pitches at Fenway Park. The current Indians roster is batting a cumulative .333 lifetime versus Porcello. 

Cleveland is 22-8 in Kluber's past 30 road starts. The Indians have revamped their bullpen greatly improving their depth with Andrew Miller healthy and newcomers Brad Hand and Adam Cimber on board. 

The Indians can match any of Boston's top offensive players with Jose Ramirez and Francisco Lindor. 

(Editor's note: For purchasing Stephen Nover's Triple Star Game of the Week, you get 30 percent off any of Stephen's Tuesday picks and subscriptions. This 30 percent discount will be in your shopping cart ready to use by Monday evening.) 


Pick Creation Time:
08/19/2018 6:50 PM
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