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Pro Pick From
Stephen Nover

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(At current odds)

2018-07-15T17:10:00.000Z 2018-07-15T17:10:00.000Z - MLB

917 NY Yankees
vs.
918 Cleveland Guardians

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

07/15/2018

MLB Sides

Guardians

5-2

-131

3

W

300

Analysis

The early action has been on the Indians and I can see why. Cleveland is 30-19 at home and has Trevor Bauer pitching against Masahiro Tanaka. 

Bauer finally is getting the due he deserves being named to the All-Star team while Tanaka remains overrated. 

I rank Bauer as among the six best pitchers in the American League. Tanaka is nowhere near that level. 

Bauer is in tremendous form with a 1.84 ERA in his last 11 starts. He has an amazing 111-to-20 strikeouts-to-walks ratio during this span of 78 1/3 innings. Bauer isn't cripple-shooting either. Cleveland is 8-3 the past 11 times Bauer has gone against foes with a winning record. 

Tanaka made his first start this past Tuesday since June 8 having been on the DL with a hamstring injury. He gave up three runs in 4 1/3 innings during a 5-4 loss to the Orioles, who have the worst record in the majors. 

Tanaka's 7-2 record is deceiving. He's unbeaten in five decisions on the road, but his away ERA is 4.91. Tanaka has surrendered 12 homers on the road in 47 2/3 innings. The Indians rank No. 3 in the majors in runs scored and homers. They are an outstanding home team and hold a starting pitch edge justifying this lay price. 


Pick Creation Time:
07/14/2018 11:48 PM
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