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Pro Pick From
sleepyj

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(At current odds)

2018-06-30T00:05:00.000Z 2018-06-30T00:05:00.000Z - MLB

923 Chicago White Sox
vs.
924 Texas Rangers

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

06/29/2018

MLB Run Lines

White Sox

3-11

+1½-155

3

L

-465

Analysis
I love when I'm seeing the board well and i find great bets because I'm digging into the games....I also must be nuts for backing the White Sox two times this week and turning a +140 dog to a -155 RL wager....Hold on a sec though because I can make a real case for betting the Sox on the ML and RL...My rule of thumb is never ever take a -RL dog unless you feel they can win the game outright..Which i 100% think the Sox can win this game, but the RL makes more sense to me here...Chicago is playing the best ball of the season for them right now...They took a series away from the Twins and split with the A's..Chicago lost yesterday in a tough game against the Twins who gutted out a late extra inning win...Sox had a ton of chances to close it out, but one thing after another happened that they couldn't plate the winning run...Still they have to feel good with how they are playing and battling right now...That will carry over for today...Gallardo goes for the Rangers and i can't think of many reasons why this guy is even in the league..His numbers stink and he is hittable beyond belief even with the Sox who struggle to hit and have not plated a high amount of runs many times this season..Gallardo stinks and he will be hit today..He has thrown a total of 200 pitches in his last two games...He's being thrown out on the hill and he's way past his prime and retirement is near...He's won two in a row though thanks to the Rangers bats who have given him a ton of runs..Problem here is the Rangers bats have cooled slightly and they had a day off yesterday..You have to wonder if those bats can heat up after all that..To complicate things even more, the Sox will put out the best pitcher on the staff..Covey is the best the Sox got and he is well rested..He was yanked out of his last start with some hip/groin issues..so he should be well rested after a low pitch count..He said he feels fine and is ready to go...He lost his last two starts and he'll be gunning for a win to avoid losing three straight...I also find it odd that the total is sitting at 10.5 and trending under..That total should be 11 and have some over juice on any other day, but the books and super sharp guys know the Ranger bats have cooled and they've had a day off..now facing a team that doesn't score a ton, but they have a pitcher who is well rested and gunning for a win..Rangers haven't seen Covery and the books know this...If the Sox think they can win a game against the Rangers, it's this game right here...They can win this game, but the MO of the Sox is doing some stupid shit to lose games....2 outs and a guy on 3nd with a grounder to 3rd base and they throws it in the dugout and the run scores..those type of things happen with them all the time..So why not just take the RL and let the Sox be who they are and still cover if they cough up the game...I know this team well and I don't want to lose a bet because of an error...The RL imo is the best bet on the board today and the safest way to play the Sox in a game like this...I'll sprinkle the ML as well, cuz i think they got a shot to win this game 5-4 / 6-3, but ya never know with these guys, they find ways to screw things up.
Pick Creation Time:
06/28/2018 11:59 PM
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