This was not a difficult bet, starting with the weather. The game-time temperature will be around 90* and there's not a ton of humidity which also helps. Working backwards, the Halo's bullpen has a 5.02 ERA over the last week and has been giving up bombs, while the Orioles pen has a 5.90 ERA over the same time frame, even with Britton back. So, we'll get late runs but I don't think we're going to need too many. Hess has allowed five earned runs in each of his last five starts, none of them even lasting five innings. He's also a major fly ball pitcher and this just isn't a pitchers' park by any means. Pena also gives up long balls - 12 in his total of 55 big league innings. This is also only his third start, ever, so we may well the the Angels pen sooner rather than later. This is also his first appearance on the road this season, and in Toronto last week he allowed 11 fly ball outs to only 6 ground ball outs in five innings, and he ALSO threw a career high 83 pitches. The Angels are averaging five runs per game on the ROAD and only 4 at home - the Orioles also now DON'T have O'Day out of the pen, and that dude has shut me down more than I care to admit. This is a big number for a very good reason - they'll get to 11 because BOTH teams should score plenty. That's all I got.
If you want MORE - Yankees/Boston over and the Nationals (I know)
You can add the Reds to that list