The line move is because of the shit lineup the Pirates put out. We shall see.
Like last night's game this is a play one and against. The Brewers have hit exactly one HR against Kuhl in 94 at bats, and he's had five straight starts allowing three earned runs or less, and three only once. I like Suter, just not here. HE's off a 105 pitch game versus the Phillies, which is by far a season-high pitch count, and in his last two starts he had a ton more fly ball outs than not which is a yellow flag for me. The Pirates have all seen him, many for the first time back in May, so this time around they know what's coming. The Milwaukee pen hadn't been very good (a 1.86 WHIP over the last seven games) heading into last night, and they were stressed to the end, having to use Jennings, Jeffers, and Kneble all for 22 or more pitches. Pittsburgh's pen at home has been far better than on the road, and the Pirates are well over .500 at PNC Park. The Pirates are not "packed and ready to fly" after this game since they're at home for Arizona the next four nights, while the Brewers are headed back home to play the dreaded Cardinals - the Brewers are 5-2 in Kuhl's home starts and I expect that to be 6-3 about 7PM Pacific Time. A cheap price on a home team that's being disrespected, or better yet the Brewers are getting TOO much respect.
For anyone just on today -
I played the DODGERS this afternoon, smaller, obviously.
I also played a ML parlay with the Indians this afternoon and the Astros tonight. If Cleveland wins I may well go back and take the Rays RL for a middle shot - obviously lineups and market moves not withstanding.
I played the Cardinals/Phillies over as well as the Indians/CWS over.