The Rockies are showing they can score runs on the road, too, and not just at Coors Field. They have scored four or more runs in 15 of their last 16 games. The Over is 9-1-1 in their last 11 games.
I expect the Rockies to keep scoring facing Nick Pivetta, in a hitter's park and with the wind blowing out to right at 12 mph. Pivetta is up-and-down and right now he's down with a 5.79 ERA in his last three starts. Only once in his last six starts has he gone past the fifth inning.
The Phillies should do damage against Tyler Anderson, who has a 5.00 ERA in his last three starts and a 6.12 ERA in night games. Anderson has thrown a combined 306 pitches during his last three starts, the most by far in a three-game stretch for him this season. He could easily tire and the Rockies' bullpen is missing a key arm with Adam Ottavino out.