I'm playing PITTSBURGH on the run-line (2*, +1.5 runs) The Pirates jumped on top early in yesterday's opener, only to have the Dbax storm back for a 9-5 victory. I expect them to have considerably more success today. While Buchholz has pitched well so far, lets remember that he's been pretty bad in the bigs the past few seasons. The Pirates beat him 9-1 the only time they faced him, scoring five runs (4 earned) in four innings. Admittedly, Williams has struggled of late. He's still 2-1 with a somewhat respectable 4.01 ERA through six road starts though, to go along with a solid 1.218 WHIP. As he used to go to Arizona State and as he lives in Phoenix, Williams figures to be extra fired up. He's made two starts Arizona and both were strong. Both resulted in close 1-run victories, Williams allowing just two combined earned runs. Expect AT LEAST a run-line cover.