As great as Luis Severino has been throwing, it takes two outstanding pitchers to justify a total this low. Seth Lugo, who is primarily a middle reliever, doesn't fit with a total this low. This is especially so facing the No. 1 offense in baseball.
The Yankees lead the majors in homers, runs and OPS. They easily could cover this total alone. Lugo is making just his second start of the season, filling in for injured Noah Syndergaard. The Mets are down closer Jeurys Famila and setup man AJ Ramos, both of whom are on the DL.
Anything the Mets can produce would be a bonus. The Mets have scored only 11 runs in their last eight games. The Mets' offense should pick up, though, with the return of key injured hitters. Todd Frazier recently returned from injury and had a home run on Saturday. Underrated Brandon Nimmo is batting .303 with a .646 slugging percentage against righthanded pitchers, which Severino is.
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