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Pro Pick From
Stephen Nover

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(At current odds)

2018-06-08T00:05:00.000Z 2018-06-08T00:05:00.000Z - NHL

9 Washington Capitals
vs.
10 Vegas Golden Knights

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

06/07/2018

NHL Sides

Vegas

3-4

-130

3

L

-390

Analysis
The Golden Knights have not lost four games in a row all season. I'm not expecting that to happen either in this must-win spot for Vegas, down 3-to-1 in this championship series.

I express this opinion with the confidence that the Golden Knights will be revitalized returning home. Las Vegas had the fourth-best home mark during the regular season and is 7-2 at home during the Stanley Cup playoffs with the lone losses occurring to the Sharks in overtime and to the Capitals, 3-2, in Game 2. All together, the Golden Knights have won 73 percent of their past 48 games at T-Mobile Arena. 

Las Vegas beat Washington, 6-4, in Game 1 of this series at home. The Golden Knights were stopped, 3-2, in Game 2 when Braden Holtby made a miracle stick save that might have been the best save of the season. That save turned the series around. Washington outplayed Las Vegas, 3-1, at home in Game 3. 

The Capitals then defeated the Golden Knights, 6-2, at home in Game 4 this past Monday. That score was misleading, though. The Golden Knights attacked well, but didn't get breaks and just missed on their shots on goal. The Capitals took advanage of Las Vegas' aggressiveness to built an early insurmountable 3-0 lead. But I liked how well the Golden Knights attacked the Capitals' 1-1-3 neutral zone trap defense that had been so effective in Game 3. 

The Golden Knights are going to get their goals in Game 5. They go four lines deep and were the fifth-highest scoring team during the regular season. The Capitals have blown more 3-1 postseason leads than any team. The Capitals have led after four games in the Stanley Cup four times during the Alex Ovechkin era. They lost Game 5 on three of those occasions. 

I wouldn't trust the Capitals to close out the Golden Knights on the road. This matchup is Las Vegas' time to win. 
Pick Creation Time:
06/05/2018 11:03 AM
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