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Pro Pick From
Stephen Nover

Make this pick

(At current odds)

2018-06-07T00:15:00.000Z 2018-06-07T00:15:00.000Z - MLB

961 Miami Marlins
vs.
962 St. Louis Cardinals

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

06/06/2018

MLB Run Lines

Cardinals

3-11

-1½+110

3

L

-300

Analysis
Not only do the Marlins have the worst record in the National League, but their losses usually aren't close either. They have lost by more than one run in nine of their last 11 losses. 

St. Louis is poised to make a move with Yadier Molina back from the DL and Marcell Ozuna heating up. The Cardinals fell as big favorites to the Marlins on Tuesday in the first game of this series. I don't see a repeat of that happening. Neither does the oddsmaker with this huge of a price. This game shapes up as a kill spot for the Cardinals so I'm going to lay 1 1/2 runs and get a plus price rather than have to risk heavy juice. 

Miami had lost six in a row until last night. They last time the Marlins won back-to-back games was May 22-23 versus the Mets. 

The Marlins are starting lefty Wei-Yin Chen, who is coming off a serious injury and trying to round into form. He has a 6.10 ERA and doesn't go deep into games. The Marlins have a very weak bullpen. 

I like Cardinals starter Jack Flaherty, who is displaying a lot of promise with a 2.62 ERA and 36 strikeouts in 34 1/3 innings. The Cardinals have won 62 percent of their games this season against lefty starters. 
Pick Creation Time:
06/06/2018 3:40 AM
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