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Pro Pick From
Stephen Nover

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(At current odds)

2018-06-05T02:10:00.000Z 2018-06-05T02:10:00.000Z - MLB

951 Atlanta Braves
vs.
952 San Diego Padres

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

06/04/2018

MLB Sides

Braves

4-11

+105

3

L

-300

Analysis
The Braves are at least a year ahead of schedule in their rebuild. They are leading the NL East having just won three of four from the Nationals. Now they head to the West Coast to meet the Padres. I expect the Braves to carry their adrenalin through in winning this first game of the series. 

Atlanta is the supeior team and has the better starter going in a pitching matchup of Julio Teheran versus lefty Clayton Richard. 

I'm surprised the Padres opened a favorite. The oddsmaker is seeing the Padres being 5-2 on their current homestand. That record, however, has been compiled against the Marlins and Reds. Those are the two worst teams in the National League. 

Even with those five victories, the Padres still are 16-20 at home. They rank 28th in runs scored. Atlanta is in the top-six in runs scored and batting average. The Braves are 6-3 in their last nine games and have scored four or more runs in eight of their last 10 games. 

Teheran has pitched much better on the road going 3-2 with a 3.18 ERA. 

The Braves are 11-8 versus lefty starters and have a strong history against Richard, who is 0-6 lifetime versus Atlanta with a 6.75 ERA in nine appearances, including six starts. 

(Editor's note: For purchasing Stephen Nover's Triple Star Monday Dominator you get 30 percent any of his Tuesday picks and subscriptions. This 30 percent discount will be in your shopping cart ready to use by this evening.) 

Monday Free Play

Royals plus $1.65 at Angels 

I don't believe Nick Tropeano should be a favorite in this price range. He's a No. 5 type pitcher at best and the Angels aren't some powerhouse. They are 14-18 at home, have a weak outfield aside from the great Mike Trout and are vulnerable in the bullpen having arguably lost their two best relief pitchers, Keynan Middleton and Blake Wood, to season-ending elbow injuries. 

Kansas City has won seven of its last 12 games. Until yesterday, the Royals had gone seven consecutive games without an error.

Royals starter Danny Duffy has had a rough season, but he's strung together two straight good outings giving up two runs and eight hits in 13 2/3 innings against the Rangers and Twins. 

At this big of a 'dog price, I'll put a peanut on the Royals. 




Pick Creation Time:
06/04/2018 4:10 AM
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