I'm playing with TB (3* MAIN EVENT). While I won with the Caps in Game 6, I expect the Lightning to bounce back and take the final game. (In fact, at the beginning of the series, I picked TB to win in 7.) While it may not have mattered early in this series, home ice IS extremely important to both teams. The Caps are 29-22 on the road but the Lightning are 35-15 here at home. Washington scores 3.1 goals per game on the road and also allows 3.1. The Caps get outshot by an average of 32.2 to 28.8 on the road. Meanwhile, the Lightning outscore teams by a 3.6 to 2.9 margin here at home. While it likely won't be easy, when the smoke clears, expect the Lightning to improve to 46-26 (+13.4) their past 72, after a loss by two or more goals in their previous game.