8:05pm ET / 5:05pm PT
#557-558
PHILADELPHIA 76ERS @ CHICAGO BULLS
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
The 76ers were as HOT as any team in the NBA at the All-Star break. Philadelphia closed things out with a 5-game home stand in which they went a PERFECT 5-0 SU. They’ll start the post All-Star period with a trip to the Windy City tonight in what has been their BEST role on terms of ‘OVERS’. We’ll get to that ideal situation in a minute. But first, let’s check out the recent tendencies of this series.
The 76ERS and BULLS have gone 10-3 O/U in the last 13 meetings versus each other in the last four seasons. Not only that, but the last six games played IN Chicago between these two teams have ALL gone OVER the TOTAL (6-0 O/U). The average combined points in these games has been 222.8. That’s about 10 points MORE than the current OU line for tonight game (around 213). Included is a match IN Chicago earlier this season (Dec. 18th), in which both teams combined for 232 points. The OU line in that was 209.5, and the Bulls ended up winning a shootout by the score of 117 to 115.
We’ll be expecting a LOT of points tonight as we ride the favored Sixers in THREE of their best high-scoring situations: As road ‘chalk’… against LOSING teams… and with EXTENDED rest. At last look, Philadelphia was laying -6.5 to -7 points in tonight’s game. The fact that they are a road favorite plays right into our hands. Already this season, PHILLY has been installed as a ROAD FAV in ten games. They have gone an almost-PERFECT 9-1 O/U in those ‘road chalk’ games. So we will ride that 90% HIGH-scoring situation tonight. Also, they take on a Bulls team with a current W/L percentage of .350 (20-37 SU). The SIXERS have gone 22-7-1 O/U in the last 12 months versus all < .500 NON-division opponents when the OU line is 222 or less points. That includes a very impressive (for OVER bettors) 16-2 O/U when they play in the ROAD. And finally, with EXTENDED rest of 5 or more days, the SOXERS have gone a PERFECT 5-0 O/U in the last five seasons.
Chicago’s potential OVER numbers are also pretty good. The BULLS have already gone 9-3 O/U versus the ATLANTIC DIVISION this season. Also 10-2 O/U after along 120 or more points at HOME in their last game (lost to Toronto at home 122-98 in their last game before the break). Finally, unlike their counterparts… Chicago’s BEST ‘Over’ results have been against WINNING teams. The BULLS have gone 20-8-1 O/U since Novembers (and 16-5 O/U since December) versus all > .500 opponents.
With this being the first day of acton after the long All-Star break, most of our early database querying looks at EXTENDED rest situations…
(1) In NBA games with BOTH teams coning in with 5 or more days of REST, the results have been 11-2 O/U in there last four seasons when the HOME team (CHICAGO) is an UNDERDOG of +3 or more points…and the OU line is in the range of 194 to 230 points.
(2) 9-1 O/U since 2010: All EASTERN CONFERENCE road favorites of -2 > Points when playing with SIX or more days of rest (SIXERS). The average OU margin in these games has been +14.0 points per game.
(3) 19-5-1 O/U since 2003: All non-division teams with 5 or more days rest and of a SU loss of 20 or more points (BULLS), when the OU line is > 218 points.
Day of the Week…
Already in THIS 2017 / 2108 season, THURSDAY home underdogs (BULLS) have gone 8-1 O/U in non-division CONFERENCE games when the OU line is 206 or more points.
As mentioned above, Chicago is off a home loss to Toronto by the ascend of 122 to 98… 9-1 last 2 years / 7-0 O/U last 12 months: All NBA underdogs of > 2 points off a HOME game in which they scored > 100 points and ALLOWED 120 or more points (BULLS).
Also as mentioned in our first paragraph, the hot Sixers come into tonight’s contest riding a current 5-game WINNING streak… 9-0 O/U since December: All non-division Conference ROAD teams off 5 or more WINS in a row (SIXERS) when the OU line is > 198 points. The average OU margon in these games has been +14.6 points per game.