1-star (770) COLORADO +3 over Usc. 10:30pm ET. Colorado has one of the largest home/away dichotomies of any team in the country this year. Away from home, Colorado is just 4-10 SU/3-10-1 ATS (including two disappointing losses last week in the state of Washington) but the Buffaloes have been very good at home this year at 11-2 SU/9-4 ATS. The Buffs come in with revenge from a 12-point loss at USC earlier this year in which the Trojans called a time out late in the game up double-digits that has Colorado really motivated tonight (both coaches and players). Colorado is a defensive home underdog as the Buffs have the far superior defense (No. 54 vs No. 104) and have played the slightly tougher schedule (No. 65 vs No. 74). Meanwhile, USC comes in off back-to-back home wins (sell high) but the Trojans have lost 3 straight on the Pac-12 road.
Lean: (762) AIR FORCE +8 over San Diego St. 9:30pm ET. We're selling San Diego St off one of their best performances of the season as they crushed UNLV by 40 points last weekend. However, the Aztecs have lost 5 straight on the road and Air Force is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games.
I also considered (716) OKLAHOMA ST +3.5 over Texas Tech tonight but we're still not clear on whether or not Texas Tech star player Keenan Evans will play (toe injury). The line says Evans will play but I'm not expecting him to be 100% and the Red Raiders have their biggest game of the year on deck (home vs Kansas).