This is probably the biggest home game Missouri has played in some time. Several weeks ago people were writing them off after having lost five of seven SEC games. However, the losses include a two-point loss to Florida and a two-point loss at Arkansas. A third loss in that stretch was to these Aggies, on the road, 60-49, and we do like our home revenge teams. A closer inspection of that game finds that Missouri shot 30% from inside the arc and 22% from beyond it, so that just cannot get worse - especially at home. A & M's defense is solid, but it's their offense I worry about. They've put up points recently, but in all those games they were playing more up-tempo opponents, which Missouri is NOT. The Tigers are a GREAT FT shooting (77%) team and in fact get to the line a lot. The Aggies don't get to the line enough to back on the road, especially against a team that DOES. And in SEC play the Aggies are shooting a woeful 62% from the stripe. Missouri shoots a lot of three's and that's the weakness of the Aggies defense - defending the perimeter. There are too many ways the Tigers get this done, and to be honest I could have made this one a bigger bet, too.

02/13/2018 4:43 AM