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Brad Powers

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(At current odds)

2018-02-13T02:00:00.000Z 2018-02-13T02:00:00.000Z - College Basketball

717 Baylor Bears
vs.
718 Texas Longhorns

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

02/12/2018

CBB Sides

Texas

73-74

-2½

1

L

-110

Analysis

1-star (718) TEXAS -2.5 over Baylor. 9:00pm ET. I think we have a clear case of recency bias going on here that's giving some value to the Texas side (my power ratings have it at Texas by 3.79). Baylor has won and covered 3 straight games while hitting at least 50% from the floor on offense in all 3 games. The Bears are coming off their biggest win of the season, a 80-64 upset of Kansas. Keep in mind, prior to the last 3 games Baylor was 2-8 ATS in their previous 10 games. On the other side, Texas has lost 2 straight games and after their defense in the first 22 games of the season held every single opponent to 49% shooting or less, they've allowed each of their last 3 opponents to hit at least 51.6% from the floor. Keep in mind, prior to the last 2 games, Texas was on a 7-1 ATS run. The Longhorns have the better defense (No. 8 vs No. 20) and have played the tougher schedule (No. 6 vs No. 27).


Lean: (713) Notre Dame +10.5 over NORTH CAROLINA. 7:00pm ET. Obviously we were wrong about ND being a one-game wonder vs BC in our lean recommendation on Florida St on Saturday. The Irish again had another solid offensive outing (shot 49% from the filed) especially from senior guard Matt Farrell (career-high 28 points) who has returned from injury in the last 3 games. The Irish are playing with revenge from a 1-point loss at home to North Carolina back on January 13th and remember in that game, Notre Dame was short-handed (missing 2 starters) so they should be confident they can play with the Tar Heels here. Meanwhile, this is a tough spot for North Carolina playing their 3rd game in 5 days, the first time that's happened in the regular season for North Carolina since 1991. Plus, the Tar Heels are off two emotional wins over arch rivals Duke and NC State (up and down games) that took a lot out of them.

Pick Creation Time:
02/12/2018 12:04 PM
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