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2018-01-23T03:35:00.000Z 2018-01-23T03:35:00.000Z - NBA

717 Minnesota T'wolves
vs.
718 LA Clippers

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

01/22/2018

NBA Totals

OV MIN/LAC

126-118

221

2

W

200

Analysis

10:35pm ET / 7:35pm PT

#717-718

MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES @ LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS

2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL


With a hefty slate of nine games on the Monday Night NBA schedule, ATS and OU bettors have plenty to choose from. And for only the 2ND day ALL season, our Totals Team is compelled to come out with MULTIPLE OU selections. The last time we came with multiple plays on the same day was on CHRISTMAS… and we turned a nice profit by going ‘UNDER’ in the three early afternoon games on that Holiday schedule. TODAY… we’re switching gears and going ‘OVER’ in all three of our games.


By now, most sharp OU bettors know that we have been following the NBA stats in regards to ‘Pace of Play’ throughout the 2017/2108 season. And those numbers from our database have aided us in going 30-14 ATS so far this season. In fact, our service has released 14 ‘OVERS’ so far this season, and we have been fortunate to go 12-2 ATS in those 14 games. So let’s take a look at some of the current ‘Pace’ stats that have us looking OVER in all three games tonight.


First off, we know that the traveling Utah Jazz have been scoring points like they are the Golden State Warriors as of late. We recognized this recent fast pace on Friday night against the Knicks, and that game ended up going OVER by +32 points (OU line was 200 / final score was 117 to 115!). They came right off that game and went OVER by +26 points the very next day against the Los Angeles Clippers (final score was 125 to 113). So in the last three games overall, the highest scoring team in the league is NOT the Warriors (115.0), or the Thunder (119.0) or the Hornets (118.7)… or the Bulls (114.7). It’s the JAZZ at 120.0 points per game. 


Expanding our query to the last FIVE games, we then touch on our other two plays. For the HOT Washington Wizards, we know that they were one of the surprise UNDER teams in the first two months of the season (8-21 O/U in their first 29 games). But Washington has FOUND their offense as of late, and are ranked i9n the TOP FOUR in offensive Pace of play over the last five games (114.2 ppg on offense). And in the same time frame, they’ve established themselves as a POOR defensive team as well. In fact, the WIZ have allowed 103 or more points in 17 STRAIGHT games since the middle of December, with an actual average of 114.0 points ALLOWED in the last three weeks of play. They come into today’s game on current OU streaks of 8-2 O/U in their last ten games… and 5-1 O/U in their last six (227.4 combined points per game). 


Washington’s opponent has also followed a similar OU path this season. At one point, the DALLAS MAVERICKS were one of the best UNDER teams in the league (back in there middle of December). Dallas’ team scoring by the month: OCT 98.3 ppg… NOV 100.1 ppg… DEC 103.2 ppg… and in this current month of JANUARY 110.3 ppg. That’s quite the dramatic offensive improvement for the Mavericks. So they have gone from the #27 team in Pace of Play (as of the middle of December) to the 8th FASTEST team in the month of January. 


Next up, we look at a team that really turned on the jets in terms of offense. That would be the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS. Over the last five games, the HIGHEST scoring team in the entire league with an average of 116.4 points last three games. If you read or PlaybooK NBA Totals TODAY daily newsletter, the you already know that the CLIPPERS cone into tonight’s game on current steaks of 12-3 O/U in their last 13 games ( 227.5 combined ppg)… and 8-2 O/U in their last 10 (227.7 combined ppg). The Clippers have already played the Timberwolves twice this season, and BOTH games went OVER the Total.


Our final look at current Pace of Play statistics leaves us with the road favorite MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES. Ranked #6 for the entire season at offensive points per game at 109.0. But another team that has ratcheted up their offense as of LATE. In the last two weeks play, the Timberwolves are ranked #1 in the entire league in Pace of Play… with an average of 116.1 points per 100 possessions. That includes a high average of 92 shot ATTEMPTS per game (league average for the season is 83.8). While it is true that #12 scorer Jimmy Butler might not play tonight, he ALSO did not play on Saturday against the Toronto Raptors. And that game STILL went OVER by double digits.


SERIES HISTORIES:

The JAZZ and HAWKS have gone 5-0-1 O/U in the last seven meetings versus each other IN Atlanta (211.3 combined points per game).

The WIZARDS and MAVERICKS have gone 4-1 O/U in the last five meet gs versus each other (218.8 combined points per game).

And the TIMBERWOLVES and CLIPPERS have gone 10-2 O/U in the last 12 meetings versus each other IN Los Angeles.


SYSTEMS and SITUATIONS from the DATABASE:

(1) 15-3 O/U last 3 years: All NBA road favorites of 8 < pts after scoring 115 or more points in EACH of their last three games (JAZZ) when the OU Line is < 215 points (also 7-0 O/U last 12 months).

(2) 6-0 O/U this season: All NBA teams off a SU home FAV loss of 15 > pts (and an UNDER) in which they ALLOWED 110 > points (HAWKS).

(3) 8-1-1 last 2 months: All EASTERN CONFERENCE road favorites in a ‘2/1 REST situation (WIZARDS) vs any Western Conference opponent (MAVS).

(4) 16-4 O/U since Nov. 1st / 9-1 O/U since Dec. 1st: All NBA teams off a road DOG win in which they SCORED 120 or more points (WIZARDS).

(5) 10-0 O/U since Dec. 31st: All NBA underdogs of < 8 points off a SU road loss in which they ALLOWED 115 or more points (MAVS).

(6) 9-0 O/U since December: All Western Conference non-division road favorites of -2 > points (T’WOLVES) when the OU line is in the range of 206 to 222 points.

(7) 16-3 O/U last 2 years: All NBA non-division teams off a SU non-conference home DOG win in which they SCORED 115 > points (T’WOLVES).

(8) 7-1 O/U this season: All NBA underdogs off a SU double-digit ROAD loss in which they ALLOWED 125 or more points (CLIPS) when the OU line is > 211 points.



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Pick Creation Time:
01/22/2018 9:20 AM
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