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2018-01-09T01:45:00.000Z 2018-01-09T01:45:00.000Z - College Football

151 Alabama Crimson Tide
vs.
152 Georgia Bulldogs

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

01/08/2018

CFB Totals

UN ALA/GEO

23-26

44½

2

L

-220

Analysis
Props UPDATE, bets I made (All Strong Opinions):

ALA Mline -175 (At -180 or less ALA is worth a bet).  Even with the LB cluster injuries, I trust Bama in the big games, an enormous experience Edge.  Ga a week in California, back to Ga, bus trips back and forth from Athens to Atl, one wonders if they can handle the big stage.

No Score 1st 6:30 -115.   Like the SBowl, I expect a slow start to the game, with BOTH teams trusting their D's over taking chances.

1st quarter UNDER 10-120.  LOVE this bet if you can find 10.   I would pass if 9.5.  Pinny has UNDER 10-123 as I type this......that is one fine bet

2nd half to outscore 1st half -110.....good up to -115.  Like the SBowl, I always expect more scoring in the 2nd half in these championship games, especially when the spread is closer to pk'm.

Game Final Score to land "odd" -120.   A decent chance we get a close game, if so , "odd" is a large favorite (since games landing 3 or 7 land odd).

***************
Ga runs the ball 2/3 of the time, and had great success running vs. Okl.  With a Freshman QB you HAVE to believe Ga will ground and pound here.

And that will not work vs. Ala even with LB cluster injuries.  Ala is No 1 in the nation stopping the run giving up 2.7 yprush.  Their LB injuries may actually help the under as instead of getting stuffed, Ga may well get 3-4 yards per rush with their great backs, and have a few long ball control drives.

Ala's Offense is lead by QB Hurts who is very good at not turning it over, but is not a big threat in the passing game.  Look for Ala to be very conservative and not lose this game on offense.

Ala 23-Ga 17.   I likely will also play the ML on ALA on game day as well, when it drops.....(I am hoping for -155).
Pick Creation Time:
01/05/2018 12:01 PM
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