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Pro Pick From
Fezzik

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(At current odds)

2017-12-19T01:30:00.000Z 2017-12-19T01:30:00.000Z - NFL

331 Atlanta Falcons
vs.
332 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

12/18/2017

NFL Sides

Buccaneers

21-24

+7

2

W

200

Analysis
Props I bet (strong leans!)

Winston UNDER 272 pass yards

I expect a closer game, and thus more running for the Bucs.

Shortest TD UNDER 1.5 -115.

My math model makes the true line on this at -145, AND the only way this is not a great bet is if we go Way UNDER the total, and cash our UNDER 49 bet!

****************

Favorites CRUSHED IT again this week in the NFL. 

This is giving the public more money to POUND on ATL tonight.

I make this game less than 7, AND Atl is in a horrible schedule Sandwich.  Minn.  Saints.   THIS GAME.   @ Saints.  Carolina.

Atl will stay VAnilla and just get out with a win, overconfident from a 34-20 somewhat misleading win vs. Tampa last month.

Meanwhile, like Mia LAST MNF (we were on Mia!) Tampa has THEIR GOY TONGHT!   We WILL get their full effort!

Pick Creation Time:
12/18/2017 2:48 PM
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