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Pro Pick From
Fezzik

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(At current odds)

2017-12-12T01:30:00.000Z 2017-12-12T01:30:00.000Z - NFL

133 New England Patriots
vs.
134 Miami Dolphins

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

12/11/2017

NFL Sides

Dolphins

27-20

+11

1

W

100

Analysis
Props I bet VERY strong leans, but somewhat hard to find:

Miami more 1st downs +5-115

Ne's stats are always underwhelming, they do better on the Scoreboard.  Given that, getting +5 on First Downs is one fine bet -120 or less vs. a Miami team that is unlikely to get blown out in the stats here!


Shortest TD UNDER 1.5 -115

Brady great at the red zone, AND getting PI in the end zone.   A high total.  5-6 Tds, we should get 1 short one.

****************

Great spot for Mia who is 4-1 ATS hosting NE last 5 years.  Mia just blown out by Pats 2 weeks ago, THEIR Game Of the year.

NE has THEIR Game of their year in 6 days @ Pit.  This is their 4th road game in 5 week, and they have had to go @Den,@Mex, @ Buff, I can see NE distracted and not 100% in North Beach Miami for this trip.

**********


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Pick Creation Time:
12/11/2017 12:04 PM
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