Look I think the wrong team is favored here..This will be a barn burner of a game, but Oklahoma is as for real as USC...Oklahoma is a team that just pounds on you in every area. They are sound on both ends of the floor and in basically every area..Once they figure out what you can't do or stop, that's what they do to pull away from ya.
Let's just look at some basis numbers here.
Oklahoma wins these areas.
PPG +7
Assists +5
Rebs +1.5
FG% +2
Turnover -1
Fouls - Even
Blocks +0.5
Steals +2.5
FT % +7
3pt% -1.5
You can't be favored in a game when you lose this many areas..Yes USC wins a few areas, but they are razor close..No clear cut advantages...This is listed as a home game for USC, but it's on a neutral court at Staples center..That's a negative for them in my eyes.
The free throws are might be a big difference here..I think we win this area and this game comes down to the free throws at the end...Oklahoma should get themselves enough distance that USC is fouling at the end of the game..Oklahoma will have to make those shots to avoid any last shot miracle baskets or OT.
USC is good, but the numbers don't add up...This looks like a Oklahoma win by 6-10pts..Wrong team is favored and getting +1 is solid since this game probably close Oklahoma a -1.5pt fav or even -2...Grab this now.