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Pro Pick From
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(At current odds)

2017-10-20T00:25:00.000Z 2017-10-20T00:25:00.000Z - NFL

301 Kansas City Chiefs
vs.
302 Oakland Raiders

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

10/19/2017

NFL Sides

Raiders

31-30

+3

1

W

100

Analysis
PROP Strong Leans:

I bet the following, in the Kc/Oak game Fyi:

Hunt OVER 32.5 Reception yards
Cooker OVER 32.5 Reception yards
Shortest TD UNDER 1.5 yards

************



Oakland has been a huge disappointment, and we predicted it, as Oak UNDER 9.5 was a 3* UNDER bet for me.

However, the market is now fully valuing Oakland as a below average team. While that may be true, this IS Their Home Run spot.

2-4 Oak NEEDS this game, and one can argue Carr being out/hurt was the no1 reason they played so poorly THE LAST THREE GAMES (he left the Denver game in the 1st half, and wasn't ready when he returned for Chargers).

I KNOW he only has 4 days to get better, but Oak gets a back 2 back home games for a Thurs game, a huge edge.

KC played MNF, SNF, then playoff revenge vs. Pit.  This is their 4th straight big game, short week, receivers banged up.

The spot greatly favors Oaktown here.

My props are very light here to to the uncertainty of Carr being 100%, and KC injuries.  Maybe a prop at close to post at 5pm PST....check back at exactly 5.

**************
CFB THURSDAY
Thursday:  LEANS to 303 Memphis and 305 Laf/Ark St OVER 66
Pick Creation Time:
10/19/2017 8:41 AM
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