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Pro Pick From
Greg Shaker

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(At current odds)

2017-10-20T00:25:00.000Z 2017-10-20T00:25:00.000Z - NFL

301 Kansas City Chiefs
vs.
302 Oakland Raiders

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

10/19/2017

NFL Totals

UN KC/OAK

31-30

47

3

L

-330

Analysis
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PLAY: UNDER Oakland/KC
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY

We are going to make short work out of these thoughts on this game in Oakland on Thursday Night. This number is simply TOO High for a number of reasons and both of our NFL Models agree with our summation. We have one of the Oldest Rivalries in the NFL in this match-up and it's usually a very physical one. Most recently these teams have played UNDER the last 3 times they have met. You've heard me talk about this often but Division Rivals (Teams that play at least twice a season) play lower scoring games than teams that don't play often. It's just a simple fact we cannot deny. The Raiders have struggled offensively this season, especially the last 4 games putting up 10, 10, 17, and 16 in those games. Derek Carr is back after the injury but he looked awful this past week with 4 INT's. The vertical passing game is just not there, Amari Cooper has a combined 9 pass receptions for 51 yards. With Oakland facing the #27 Run Defense in the league Thursday we expect them to run the ball a lot eating up clock. The Number 30 Offense in the NFL (Oakland) CANNOT afford to trade scores with the Chiefs. That mindset is going to be good for us. The Raiders did sign 4 Time All Pro LB Bowman and he's going to help the Raiders D a lot. We love this play and even at a much lower number than what the books have given us..
Pick Creation Time:
10/18/2017 1:07 PM
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