I'm on the over in this one tonight....I have a rather simple handicap and why I think this game goes over....It very well could go under and by a ton of points...It comes down to turnovers...Both of these teams are turnover machines and have been for the first two games of each teams season...Turnovers can flip the field and if they turn the ball over on the wrong side of field on drives, that will kill us....We also have the benefit of flipping the field in our direction as well...Turnovers create momentum though, which leads this game to being close...I think that alone makes for a back and forth game..If the turnovers are beneficial field wise, this game will fly over and it very well could be over very early....Boise St is coming off a loss and they should be primed and ready to put up some points..The offenses for both teams now have had two games to get the offense on the same page...New Mexico is a run first team, but they will pass the ball as well..I'm guessing the total is a little low because of the New Mexico run game...It's a good run game though and Boise St hasn't been lights out on defense for two years now....I see a bunch of defensive flags coming in our favor for this one tonight as well....I'm not going to fake the funk here guys...This game comes down to turnover tonight...If we get what we need field wise and flag wise...We hit this easy...If not we might struggle to get over the total....The NFL game is just to tough to make a play, but I do lean Boise in this game, but it's very slim...This total is the strongest bet of the day today for me....I could see a 37-27 type of game.

09/14/2017 8:03 AM