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2017-08-17T00:40:00.000Z 2017-08-17T00:40:00.000Z - MLB

909 Atlanta Braves
vs.
910 Colorado Rockies

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

08/16/2017

MLB Totals

UN ATL/COL

17-2

11-114

2

L

-228

Analysis


8:40pm ET / 5:40pm PT


#909-910

Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies

2** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL


We got boned last night. Our play was on UNDER 8 runs in the Yankees / Mets game. Heading into the 7th inning, we were looking pretty good… as the score was just 4 to 0. But the Mets hit a 2-run homer off Sonny Gray in the 7th inning. And then they did it again (a 2-run ‘Dong’) in the top of the 9th inning to turn our easy winner into a late LOSS. It was pretty frustrating result, considering the research that did prior to the game. Research that suggested there was a very good chance that neither starter would allow a home run last night. Not in the dominating and dynamic current form that DeGrom and Gray were in. But low and behold. DeGrom allowed TWO home runs (Sanchez and Ellsbury) and Gray allowed ONE ‘dong’ to Dominic Smith in the 7th inch (his FIRST home run of the year to boot). Then STUD? reliever Aroldis Chapman allowed a 2 run dong in the top of the 9th inning. It was only his SECOND home run allowed ALL season long in 35 innings. Quite the frustrating outcome… especially with what was a meaningless home run in the last inning (in regards to the final score). Now that we have ‘vented’ about yet another late loss… let’s move on to tonight.


There is no way that we are gonna miss a turn at a low-scoring outcome in Coors Field tonight. Now with the BEST ‘Under’ umpire of the season behind the dish. And not with a series that has already gone 0-2 O/U in the first two games, and with an average of only 5.0 combined runs per game so far. And not with a Braves / Rockies series that has gone 1-7 O/U in the last eight meetings datong back to last season (only 5.8 combined RPG). And finally, not with two teams that have struggled to manage any sort of a productive offense as of late.


The BRAVES are on a 3-7 O/U run in their last 10 games, with a team batting average of only .236… and a average of only 3.7 runs per game on offense.


The offensive drought for the ROCKIES (already the #3 UNDER team in all of baseball for the year) is even worse as of late. Colorado has gone 2-8 O/U in their last ten games… with a team batting average of only .234 and an average of only 3.3 runs per game on offense.


So it is NO SURPRISE that the OU line for tonight’s game opened at 11.5 runs… and has already gone down to 11 runs… AND there is a good chance that it will go down to 10.5 by the time first pitch gets here.


MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ of Atlanta has made three career starts versus Colorado. His ERA in those three starts is only 3.00… and ALL THREE of those starts went UNDER the Total.


JON GRAY of Colorado has made two career starts versus Atlanta. His ERA in those two starts is only 0.64… and yes, BOTH of 'em went UNDER THE TOTAL.


There are 79 Major League Baseball UMPIRES who have worked at least five games so far in the 2017 season. The NUMBER ONE (#1) ‘Under’ Umpire will be behind the dish tonight. That would be relative ‘new’ guy DAN BELLINO. He has worked 21 games so far this season. He has gone OVER the Total in only THREE games. Not only is he #1 in UNDERS of all ‘Men in Blue' (3-14-4 O/U this year / 82% Unders)… but he is ALSO #1 in lowest run-per-game average (only 7.0 combined RPG!)… and ALSO #1 in average strikeouts per game (18.2 K’s per game). In the last month of play, Bellino has gone 0-3-1 O/U in his last four games… with an average of only 6.3 runs per game. That’s a pretty good OU 'cushion’… considering tonight’s line is still sitting at 11 runs. 

Pick Creation Time:
08/16/2017 9:22 AM
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