Prior to the season, I was asked to suggest a pitcher who would exceed, or fall short of, his projected win total. I chose Stroman. Here's what I said at the time:

"Health had previously been a problem for Stroman. Last year, he stayed fairly healthy but managed only nine wins. That sub-par result has helped keep this season's projected win total quite low.  He enters spring training in great health and with a great attitude. Supported by what should be a strong Jays' offense, I like his chances of exceeding 10 wins. Consider going Over 10.5."

Stroman currently sits at 10 wins. For the season, he's 10-6 with a 3.00 ERA. At home, he could easily be better than 4-4, as he's got a 2.61 ERA here. I like his chances of picking up Win #11 here. Last time out, Stroman allowed four runs in eight innings. All four of those runs were unearned though; he only gave up four total hits in the eight innings. He's averaging better than seven innings his last three starts, recording a 2.49 ERA. 

Faria, on the other hand, is 0-2 with a poor 5.06 ERA his last three starts. During that 16 inning span, he's walked 10 batters. 

Stroman pitched very well (2 runs, 7 1/3 innings, 10 K's) against the Rays here back in the spring but came away with a no-decision. Expect him to do his thing once again, giving the Jays a solid shot at the victory. Consider Toronto.