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Stephen Nover

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(At current odds)

2017-07-18T00:15:00.000Z 2017-07-18T00:15:00.000Z - MLB

921 Detroit Tigers
vs.
922 Kansas City Royals

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

07/17/2017

MLB Totals

UN DET/KAN

2-10

10-100

2

L

-200

Analysis
The Tigers are average offensively. The Royals are well below average offensively - ranking 26th in runs - but are the top fielding team in the American League. 

The total has been bet up. I'm not buying into that especially with Jason Vargas pitching for the Royals. He has the best home ERA in the AL at 1.84. The under has cashed in 10 of his last 13 starts at Kauffman Stadium. 

The more difficult part of this Under equation is Tigers starter Jordan Zimmermann. He's not in good form with a .9.95 ERA in his last three starts. Zimmermann, though, is a better pitcher than that and he has great career numbers against the Royals with a 1.44 ERA in four career starts versus them. That ERA shrinks even more to 1.04 if you go back just to last season. 

(Editor's note: For purchasing Stephen Nover's Monday Totals Crusher, you get 30 percent off any of Stephen's Tuesday's picks and subscriptions. Check your shopping cart for your 30 percent discount, which is available to use by Monday evening.)


Pick Creation Time:
07/17/2017 6:08 AM
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